Romanian nationalist George Simion leads in Romania's presidential election, setting the stage for a polarizing second round

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Future of Europe & Reform Debates
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May 5, 2025
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Bucharest, Romania – In a compelling outcome of the first round of Romania's presidential election, nationalist candidate George Simion has emerged as the frontrunner, achieving more than 30% of the votes. Meanwhile, a close contest is unfolding between pro-Western coalition contenders Crin Antonescu and independent Nicușor Dan, each securing just over 20%, as indicated by multiple exit polls.

Simion’s anticipated success was corroborated by pre-election analyses; however, the surprising strength of Nicușor Dan, the current mayor of Bucharest and a political outsider, has disrupted the expectations of the ruling coalition, which had united behind Antonescu as its leading candidate.

As the nation prepares for a consequential second round in two weeks, the political landscape is poised for a showdown between a nationalist agenda and pro-European Union and NATO values.

In reaction to his victory, Simion declared it a "triumph for Romania's integrity" and emphasized the necessity for transparency in the vote counting process to prevent any potential malpractice.

The campaign led by Simion has tapped into a rising tide of anti-establishment sentiment, significantly influenced by ultranationalist Calin Georgescu, a former presidential hopeful whose contentious victory in the annulled December 2024 elections has thrust Romania into a political maelstrom.

According to exit poll data, voters appear to be prioritizing individual candidates over party loyalties, highlighting a notable shortcoming of the broader coalition, which includes the center-left PSD, the liberal PNL, and the Hungarian minority party UDMR/RMDSZ, in rallying their constituents.

It is essential to recognize that exit polls in Romania have historically shown inconsistencies, and the official results may present a different picture, especially considering the significant impact of the diaspora vote, which has the potential to sway the election outcome dramatically.

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